A sustained move under $53.61 will signal a good sellers revealing a bull trap. This will trigger a labored break with potential targets coming in at $52.40, $51.29 and $50.66. If $50.66 fails as support arehorrified to find that the selling to extend into the main retracement zone at $50.28 to $48.83.
A sustained move over $54.00 will indicate the existence of buyers. This may also indicate that Friday’s move was fueled by fake buying rather and just buy stops. The upside momentum is not going to continue and testing $54.98 can be a pipe dream for buyers from fuelled trade talks.
Lifting Iranian sanctions may significant impact on the planet oil market. Iran’s oil reserves are the fourth largest on earth with a production capacity around 4 million barrels per day, which makes them the second biggest producer in OPEC. Iran’s oil reserves take into account approximately 10% in the world’s total proven petroleum reserves, on the rate with the 2006 production the reserves in Iran could last 98 years. More than likely Iran will prove to add about 2million barrels of oil per day for the market and in line with the world bank this will resulted in the decline in the oil price by $10 per barrel next season.
Based on Data from OPEC, at the beginning of 2013 the greatest oil deposits have been in Venezuela being 20% of world oil reserves, Saudi Arabia 18%, Canada 13% and Iran 9%. Due to the characteristics from the reserves it isn’t always simple to bring this oil for the surface in the limitation on extraction technologies and also the cost to extract.
As China’s increased demand for gas main as an option to fossil fuel further reduces overall need for oil, the increase in supply from Iran and also the continuation Saudi Arabia putting more oil on the market should understand the price drop within the next Yr and a few analysts are predicting prices will belong to the $30’s.
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