Taming the market with the robots

We have been closely watching the Crypto Currency Market when you can think of it as that, with all the fake data, fraud, and related problems. One thing shines – it is not so unique of FX, commodities, futures, or stocks. Market dynamics are market dynamics. And as most readers of the fine site will know – many traders lose. There’s been analysis done about this, you know how this ends. A few early investors come up with a bundle and thousands or millions even are still holding the bag. From one perspective, a bubble is compared to a ponzi scheme. In MLM, there are several who get rich – the founders.

Unless you are the founder – how do you know which Crypto will be another Bitcoin? You don’t. You have no idea. You can go to Korea and do each of the due diligence you would like, the reality is that no-one can understand the future or even a top analyst can be wrong from time to time.

Quant traders have the same doctrine each of them share – they are smart enough to know how stupid they’re. They know their particular flaws plus they endure an increased power- that is Artificial Intelligence.

Computing power has become so massive that it must be possible that everyone can off their own home office create an intelligent automated program that does well. Obviously, like with the laws of market dynamics, it’s also possible to develop a robot that is worth exactly zero – a huge pile of crap. When a quant makes an algorithm it’s either priceless or worthless. If it truely does work, she has effectively developed a money making machine. If it does not work, there is absolutely no value to anyone not even academics.

How do we understand what method works, building an operating bot or purchase one? There are obvious conflicts of great interest in people that sell bots. The internet has been covered with good marketeers, while profitable quants mostly keep their strategies to themselves. Selling an item, and trading a robotic, are actually 2 different skills.

Crypto so far has shown similar to most markets: impossible to trade.

Although many are kicking themselves because of not buying and holding, We can tell you as a trader i speak for many in the room that there are no way I might have experienced the patience by sitting over a hugely profitable position for several years whilst the price goes parabolic.

This is why quants develop and trade algorithms – picking entries and exits can be brain-destroying. There are dangers and risks with robots too of course, but they are of your different nature.

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